How Trump’s threats have revived the Liberal Party in Canada

If you had asked the Canadians a few months ago who will win the coming general elections for the country, most of them were predicting a crucial victory for the Conservative Party.

This result does not seem very certain now.

In the wake of US President Donald Trump’s threats against Canada, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s liberal party in the polls rose, decreasing from two of their most important competitors since mid -2013.

The dramatic change in the country’s political scene reflects how Trump’s tariff and repeated calls to make Canada “State 51” mainly changed the priorities of Canadian voters.

Luke Torgon, Professor of Political Science at the University of Ottawa, notes that Trump’s speech “pushing all other issues” that were at the top of the Canadians before his inauguration on January 20.

It has even managed to revive the unpopular Troodo, whose approval rate has increased by 12 points since December. The Prime Minister, of course, will not be in power for a long time, after he announced his resignation at the beginning of the year.

On Sunday, the liberals will announce the results of the leadership competition to determine who is taking a party that runs an unstable minority government. The new leader will have two decisions to make: How to respond to Trump’s threats, and when he calls for general elections. The answer to the first dilemma will definitely affect the second.

Federal elections should be held on October 20 or before, but they can be called up early this week.

Opinion polls indicate that many Canadians still want to change above. Greg Liel, head of the innovative research group that is based in Toronto, says, who now guesses that anyone is now guessing that what this change will look like – a liberal government under a new leadership, or a complete transformation to the conservatives – is now guessing anyone.

“Until now, it was an explosion for the conservatives,” he told BBC.

This is because the right -wing party in the center, led by Pierre Bouleever, was effective in its letters on issues that occupied the Canadian soul over the past few years: the growing cost of living, the inability to housing, crime, and tense health care system.

Poilievre successfully connected to these societal problems with what Trudeau described “catastrophic” policies, and promised to return to the “proper sense policy”.

But with Trudeau’s resignation and Trump’s threats to economic security in Canada and even her sovereignty, this correspondence has become old, says Lille. His poll indicates that the majority of the country is now afraid of Trump’s presidency and the influence he will have on Canada.

Trump’s tariff of 25 % on all Canadian imports of the United States, some of which were temporarily stopped until April 2, could be devastating to the Canadian economy, which sends three quarters of all its products to the United States. Officials have predicted up to one million business losses as a result, and Canada can go to stagnation if the tax on goods continues.

Trudeau left no doubt about the extent of his service to the threat, when he told reporters this week that Trump’s reason for the American customs tariffs – fentanel flow across the border – was unjustified and unjustified.

The Prime Minister warned: “What he wants is to see a complete collapse of the Canadian economy, because this will be implicit.”

“In many ways, it is a comprehensive basic issue about the survival of the country,” says Professor Turgion for the BBC. It is better to put it in Canada against Trump, so it has become the main question in the upcoming elections.

Conservatives are still applicant in opinion polls, as the latest averages indicate that 40 % of voters support them. Meanwhile, the wealth of the liberals was revived, as their support climbed to a little more than 30 % – an increase of 10 points from January.

The liberals tried to highlight the similarities between the conservative leader and the Republican President. In a leadership discussion last week, the candidates indicated Poilievre that “our small copy of Trump here at home” said that he was looking forward to “imitating” the American president. Announcing the liberal party attack Vivic clips of the two using similar phrases Such as “fake news” and “radical left”.

However, there are clear differences between politicians, in terms of style and materials. Trump reduced himself from any similarities, telling the British magazine the spectator in an interview with him recently that Poilievre “is not enough.”

However, opinion polls indicate conservative support. A poll conducted by national opinion polls, Angus Reed, indicates that the Canadians believe that the first candidate for the leadership of liberalism, Mark Carne, is better equipped to deal with Trump on definition and trade issues more than Poilievre.

The former central banking of Canada and England promotes his experience in dealing with economic crises, including the 2008 financial collapse and Braxite.

The transformation in the political mood forced the conservatives to re -calculate their messages.

If the elections are called soon, the campaign will be held at a moment when Trump’s fierce threats will be inspired by the Canadians. Many Boycott American goods In local grocery stores, or even canceling trips to the United States.

Professor Turgion says this “gathering around science” has become a major topic of Canadian policy.

Conservatives have turned away from the slogan “Broken Canada”, which Mr. Laill says the risks they face “hostile to Paperic”, to “Canada first”.

Conservatives also re -directed their attacks on Carney. Before Trump’s tariff, they ran ads saying it was “like Justin” in an attempt to link him to Petrodo. But in recent weeks, the conservatives have begun to search Carney’s loyalty in Canada.

Specifically, they wondered whether he had a role in moving the Brocchfield Asset headquarters – a Canadian investment company – from Toronto to New York when he held the position of its president.

Carney replied that he left the company by the time when the decision was taken, but the company’s documents that were reported by the public broadcaster CBC show that the council agreed to the move in October 2024, when Carney was still in Brussfield.

The move, and Carney, was subjected to his involvement with her, by the Editorial Board of the Canadian National newspaper The Globe and Mail, who wrote on Thursday that Carney should be transparent with Canadians.

On a broader scale, the newspaper wrote: “Every party leader must understand that Canada is entering a long period of uncertainty. The next prime minister will have to call for the confidence of the Canadians to lead the country that needs his head but he may not want to go.”

Looking at the echo of the Canadians, Mr. Lille says that any ambiguity of Carney’s loyalty to the country could be harmful to him and the liberals.

Whenever the elections come, and everyone who wins, there is one certain thing: Trump will continue to influence Canadian policy and reshape it exactly as it was in the United States.